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 Demon Oak Loot Prediction

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Rothiel
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PostSubject: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 04:31

Hello,

I am starting a new initiative to encourage myself to work on demon oak. As you know, hunting demons is pretty boring, so this will incentivize me to hunt them a little more.

I will set a target number of demons to kill and your job will be to guess the number of items looted, from the list below.

This will be a long-term event. When demon oak is completed, the winner will receive a big prize.

The winner will be determined by the sum of the absolute value difference between of all their guesses and actual loot amounts. If there are any ties, the person with most exact matches will be the winner. If there is still a tie, the most "generous" guess will win (most valuable loot combination - NPC prices).

Base your answers on 400 demons. That is the target kill amount. The hunting will occur continuously until 400 demons have been killed. Then, I will share results and winner and you will have one day to post new predictions, if necessary. If you do not post a new prediction, the prior week's prediction will be used.

Scoring scenario:

Player A says 2 mastermind shields and 3 demon shields.
Player B says 4 mastermind shields and 2 demon shields.
Actual loot is 3 mastermind shields and 2 demon shields.

Player A is off by 1 in mastermind shields and by 1 in demon shields. His value is 2.
Player B is off by 1 in mastermind shields and by 0 in demon shields. His value is 1. He is the winner.

Demons: 400 killed
Magic Plate Armors:
Demonrage Swords:
Demon Trophies:
Mastermind Shields:
Demon Shields:
Golden Legs:
Giant Swords:
Fire Axes:
Gold Rings:


Please post your guesses. Do NOT underestimate my loot luck.

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or get busy dying.


Last edited by Rothiel on Wed 01 Oct 2014, 00:46; edited 8 times in total
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 04:35

Points:

Every week, the best score will receive 3 points, the second best 2 points and the third best 1 point.



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Last edited by Rothiel on Thu 12 Feb 2015, 16:12; edited 28 times in total
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Rothiel
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 04:36

Actual Loot:


Hunt 10 - Friday 1/9 - Monday 2/9
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 2
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 4
Demon Shields: 1
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 8
Fire Axes: 23
Gold Rings: 6

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 9 - Sunday 11/16 - Friday 1/9
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 0
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 11
Fire Axes: 16
Gold Rings: 4

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 8 - Wednesday 11/5 - Sunday 11/16
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 5
Demon Shields: 3
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 3
Fire Axes: 21
Gold Rings: 5

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 7 - Wednesday 10/29 - Wednesday 11/5
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 1
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 7
Fire Axes: 17
Gold Rings: 6

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 6 - Sunday 10/26 - Wednesday 10/29
Magic Plate Armors: 2
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 0
Demon Shields: 2
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 5
Fire Axes: 16
Gold Rings: 8

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 5 - Friday 10/24 - Sunday 10/26
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 4
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 8
Fire Axes: 19
Gold Rings: 4

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 4 - Tuesday 10/3 - Friday 10/24
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 6
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 7
Fire Axes: 16
Gold Rings: 4

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 3 - Tuesday 9/30 - Thursday 10/2
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 3
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 0
Demon Shields: 2
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 15
Fire Axes: 19
Gold Rings: 5

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Monday 9/29
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 8
Demon Shields: 3
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 13
Fire Axes: 13
Gold Rings: 6

Demons killed: 400/400


Hunt 1 - Friday 9/26 - Sunday 9/28
Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 0
Demon Shields: 3
Golden Legs: 0
Giant Swords: 6
Fire Axes: 16
Gold Rings: 5

Demons killed: 400/400

________________________
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or get busy dying.


Last edited by Rothiel on Thu 12 Feb 2015, 16:14; edited 25 times in total
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 04:36

BEGIN PREDICTION OR ADJUSTING YOUR PREDICTIONS NOW FOR HUNT 11.
Post on Forum.


Hunt 10 - Results



1st - Chinua (3 pts)
2nd - Crypt of Icarus (2 pts)
3rd -  Princess Suki(1 pt)


Hunt 9 - Results



1st - Delita Heirall (3 pts)
2nd - Pistol Ray (2 pts)
3rd - Crypt of Icarus (1 pt)


Hunt 8 - Results

1st - Princess Suki (3 pts)
2nd - Chinua (2 pts)
3rd - Crypt of Icarus (1 pt)




Hunt 7 - Results

1st - Princess Suki (3 pts)
2nd - Pistol Ray (2 pts)
3rd - Blau Edge (1 pt)




Hunt 6 - Results

1st - Vatorr (3 pts)
2nd - Princess Suki (2 pts)
3rd - Plinn Boo (1 pt)




Hunt 5 - Results

1st - Plinn Boo (3 pts)
2nd - Chinua (2 pts)
3rd - Blau Edge (1 pt)




Hunt 4  Results

1st - Zoinho (3 pts)
2nd - Darrock Johnson (2 pts)
3rd - Plinn Boo (1 pt)





Hunt 3 Results

1st - Pistol Ray (3 pts)
2nd - Delita Heirall (2 pts)
3rd - Ivy Phoenix (1 pt)




Hunt 2 Results
1st - Chinua (3 pts)
2nd - Delita Heirall (2 pts)
3rd - Aveleira (1 pt)




Hunt 1 Results
1st - Blau Edge (3 pts)
2nd - Pistol Ray (2 pts)
3rd - Vatorr (1 pt)


________________________
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or get busy dying.


Last edited by Rothiel on Thu 12 Feb 2015, 16:17; edited 23 times in total
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Aveleira
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 04:39

Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 4
Demon Shields: 6
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 8
Fire Axes: 15
Gold Rings: 4
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 05:01

Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 5
Demon Shields: 7
Golden Legs: 3
Giant Swords: 8
Fire Axes: 12
Gold Rings: 6
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Crypt of Icarus
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 06:32

Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 4
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 10
Fire Axes: 10
Gold Rings: 7


Last edited by Crypt of Icarus on Sat 27 Sep 2014, 06:59; edited 1 time in total
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Chinua
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 07:05

This sounds like a great idea! GOGO!!

Actual Loot:
Week 1 - Friday 9/26 - Sunday 9/28
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 9
Fire Axes: 11
Gold Rings: 6

________________________
15:43 Brionesjavier [148]: CHINUA > ALL
17:49 Plinn Boo [263]: CHINUA >ALL
16:17 Delita Heirall [223]: CHINUA > ALL
20:15 Nagorik [237]: CHINUA > ALL
18:07 Connor Sane [254]: Chinua for president
17:12 Captain Gus [241]: CHINUA NEW KING DELITA KICKED
21:11 Shiroi Kuma [63]: Chinua best knight ever o/
21:38 Zoinho [188]: CHINUA IS A BETTER ELITE KNIGHT THAN ME!
19:40 Drakkarys [94]: Chinua > ally
19:05 Jhoviin [167]: CHINUA > ALL
19:06 Empalix [157]: alyssa is god plx
20:19 Ivy Phoenix [234]: chinua > superman
20:05 Daedron Horus [190]: my god you are awesome

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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 07:51

Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 5
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 6
Fire Axes: 13
Gold Rings: 5


Last edited by Blau Edge on Sat 27 Sep 2014, 06:54; edited 1 time in total
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 10:59

Magic Plate Armors: 0
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 1
Demon Shields: 2
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 5
Fire Axes: 13
Gold Rings: 2
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 13:56

Magic Plate Armors: 2
Demonrage Swords: 2
Demon Trophies: 5
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 7
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 7
Fire Axes: 14
Gold Rings: 8

________________________


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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 15:48

Magic Plate Armors:0
Demonrage Swords: 5
Demon Trophies: 3
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 5
Golden Legs: 4
Giant Swords: 9
Fire Axes: 11
Gold Rings: 7
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Fri 26 Sep 2014, 23:35

Week 1 - Friday 9/26 - Sunday 9/28
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 6
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 12
Fire Axes: 16
Gold Rings: 5
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sat 27 Sep 2014, 01:48

Week 1 - Friday 9/26 - Sunday 9/28
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 5
Golden Legs: 3
Giant Swords: 9
Fire Axes: 18
Gold Rings: 4

________________________
23:32 Kevin from Logistics [67]: you dont kill me like delly
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sat 27 Sep 2014, 04:00

Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 7
Giant Swords: 11
Fire Axes: 19
Gold Rings: 6

ok

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23:28 Princess Suki [163]: I LOVE PLINN BOO
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sat 27 Sep 2014, 07:41

Magic Plate Armors: 2
Demonrage Swords: 2
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 3
Demon Shields: 7
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 6
Fire Axes: 10
Gold Rings: 4

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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sat 27 Sep 2014, 16:40

I will win. Bye all
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sat 27 Sep 2014, 16:40

Go hunt orcs
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PostSubject: Good Luck Newbehel   Sun 28 Sep 2014, 01:51

Magic Plate Armors: 2
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 2
Mastermind Shields: 5
Demon Shields: 6
Golden Legs: 4
Giant Swords: 6
Fire Axes: 19
Gold Rings: 8
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Rothiel
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Sun 28 Sep 2014, 17:17

BLAU IS THE WINNER - 3 POINTS
2ND PLACE PISTOL RAY - 2 POINTS
3RD VATORR - 1 POINT.

Please post your new prediction for the next 400 demons. If you do not, your previous prediction will be used. Hunting starts tomorrow, Sunday.

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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Mon 29 Sep 2014, 00:17

Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Wednesday 10/1
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 1
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 6
Fire Axes: 14
Gold Rings: 5

Demons killed: 0/400
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Mon 29 Sep 2014, 00:29

Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Wednesday 10/1
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 9
Fire Axes: 15
Gold Rings: 5
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Mon 29 Sep 2014, 00:49

Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Wednesday 10/1
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 1
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 4
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 7
Fire Axes: 18
Gold Rings: 4

________________________
23:32 Kevin from Logistics [67]: you dont kill me like delly
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Mon 29 Sep 2014, 03:00

Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Wednesday 10/1
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 1
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 1
Demon Shields: 2
Golden Legs: 2
Giant Swords: 4
Fire Axes: 10
Gold Rings: 2
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PostSubject: Re: Demon Oak Loot Prediction   Mon 29 Sep 2014, 03:42

Hunt 2 - Sunday 9/28 - Wednesday 10/1
Magic Plate Armors: 1
Demonrage Swords: 0
Demon Trophies: 0
Mastermind Shields: 2
Demon Shields: 3
Golden Legs: 1
Giant Swords: 7
Fire Axes: 15
Gold Rings: 6

________________________
15:43 Brionesjavier [148]: CHINUA > ALL
17:49 Plinn Boo [263]: CHINUA >ALL
16:17 Delita Heirall [223]: CHINUA > ALL
20:15 Nagorik [237]: CHINUA > ALL
18:07 Connor Sane [254]: Chinua for president
17:12 Captain Gus [241]: CHINUA NEW KING DELITA KICKED
21:11 Shiroi Kuma [63]: Chinua best knight ever o/
21:38 Zoinho [188]: CHINUA IS A BETTER ELITE KNIGHT THAN ME!
19:40 Drakkarys [94]: Chinua > ally
19:05 Jhoviin [167]: CHINUA > ALL
19:06 Empalix [157]: alyssa is god plx
20:19 Ivy Phoenix [234]: chinua > superman
20:05 Daedron Horus [190]: my god you are awesome

ashuahsuhaushausha
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